Saturday, June 22, 2024

Things Can Only Get 31

People who read my stuff regularly will know I love numbers. I am not a mathematician but I am a bit of a statto.

Generally people are not that interested. But because statistics can be a bit counter-intuitive most people should not use them without training.

If you think stats are intuitive then run along and Google the ‘car goat game’, or the ‘green taxi blue taxi’ problem. And yes, I can tell you how long a piece of string is and why buses come in threes.

It is pretty clear that, barring something unlikely happening, we will soon have a Labour Government. We might also have more Green MPs than ever before, some Reform MPs and Lib Dem support back up to Cleggmania levels.

The number that has remained most static over the last few months is the Labour lead. Almost nothing in the campaign has changed things. It is said that some undecided former Conservatives might have returned to the fold but the calamitous Tory campaign has put them off.

Tonight everyone has turned on Farage so that will see his popularity increase amongst the people who do that sort of thing.

Key number. Twelve more days.

No comments: