Tuesday, June 11, 2024

Things Can Only Get 20

Picking up from yesterday on immigration I see the far right made a bit of progress in the EU elections in France and Macron called the bluff. Strange that they now have so many members of a Parliament they don’t want to exist.

A quick observation of Europe (try The New European for well-written insights) shows that most of those countries that flirt with the far-right and give them power find that the bubble bursts pretty quickly.

Populism has no route to peaceful coexistence with neighbours. It has to be borders and monocultures. Tim Marshall’s ‘Prisoners of Geography’ explains clearly why an area of land with many mountains and rivers (such as Europe) will tend to evolve with many disparate tribes. Conquering Empires don’t bring lasting peace. Trade and political compromise do.

If, as we expect, the UK moves back into the centre, or maybe centre-left, after this election the cause of peace in Europe will be advanced. But in the absence of a centre-right the next ten years might be dangerous.

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